I Kept Average Test Time at 10 Seconds but Changed Only Its Variance: Why Unpredictable Tests Break Developer Focus

Two test suites can have exactly the same average runtime and still create completely different development workflows. I modeled 300 code → test → fix cycles while keeping mean feedback latency close to ten seconds and changing only its variance. One runner behaved predictably. The other was usually fast but occasionally became extremely slow. The average stayed almost the same. The cost of waiting did not.
