Прогноз поменялся через 1 день после введения локдауна в Великобритании: www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGC5sGdz4kg&feature=youtu.be&t=745
Интервьюер: At Imperial College, Neil Ferguson has changed his estimate of the number of dead in England from 500 000 to 20 000 or less. And he says that that is BECAUSE OF social distancing. <...> So this was after one day of lockdown he announced that in fact it would be 20 000 or less. Is there any possibility that that number would have changed that way because of the social distancing?
Professor Knut Wittkowski: No. And actually, we have data for that.
Интервьюер: At Imperial College, Neil Ferguson has changed his estimate of the number of dead in England from 500 000 to 20 000 or less. And he says that that is BECAUSE OF social distancing. <...> So this was after one day of lockdown he announced that in fact it would be 20 000 or less. Is there any possibility that that number would have changed that way because of the social distancing?
Professor Knut Wittkowski: No. And actually, we have data for that.